Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.133338 3.675063 4.251998 4.909042 5.633444 6.404707 7.284883
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.208001 2.918109 3.734028 4.727435 5.890870 7.197481 8.762786
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.582974 2.358795 3.318281 4.559905 6.092057 7.890340 10.129294
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.186427 1.988900 3.052925 4.507011 6.383239 8.666598 11.597944
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.890238 1.684240 2.812154 4.434541 6.613777 9.350900 12.957234
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.748075 1.567980 2.800271 4.645141 7.199477 10.482854 14.890345
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.592565 1.394163 2.675344 4.675270 7.530602 11.285907 16.419089
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.517450 1.337763 2.714071 4.931762 8.170606 12.501509 18.498467
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.445358 1.269501 2.721399 5.134194 8.734696 13.624355 20.476237
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.367358 1.169955 2.661801 5.223505 9.132554 14.525797 22.174753
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.284506 1.036258 2.523669 5.173221 9.316241 15.130167 23.481619
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.235054 0.963241 2.482003 5.269307 9.713006 16.032140 25.199180
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.189417 0.886990 2.427722 5.345317 10.090310 16.929204 26.948806
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.136023 0.766769 2.269517 5.230511 10.166263 17.397509 28.118842
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.093258 0.653781 2.105452 5.087707 10.185692 17.778368 29.169286
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.066489 0.577365 2.005496 5.048395 10.362790 18.387458 30.544796
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044970 0.503073 1.895623 4.978466 10.482093 18.908599 31.799939
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038514 0.494900 1.943172 5.210784 11.106896 20.194784 34.162893
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027473 0.450587 1.892221 5.245465 11.399049 20.983396 35.821753
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024369 0.452599 1.962288 5.524137 12.111504 22.420522 38.433423
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.020351 0.444149 2.002602 5.743560 12.727079 23.718527 40.858473
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.014890 0.416249 1.984279 5.840332 13.132163 24.698901 42.832649
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008878 0.367892 1.897279 5.786110 13.269845 25.266302 44.208471